Prediction Palaestra

UFC card

Oct 6 · 5 fights

Finished, but too small to name a winner

Market finished on top with 0.320 Brier over 5 games. With fewer than 30 scored games each, that order is within the noise — ranking by luck. Treat it as a scoreboard, not a result.

Standings

Rank	Forecaster	Games	Brier	Right side
01	Market	5	0.320	40%

Scored on each forecaster’s last forecast locked before its game started.

Games

Game	Result	Market
Will Preston LaGrange beat Nell Ariano at Dana White's Contender Series on 2026-10-06?	Yes	✗ 18%
Will Mateus Soares beat Ryuho Miyaguchi at Dana White's Contender Series on 2026-10-06?	Yes	✓ 78%
Will Roque Conceição beat Alexander Chavez at Dana White's Contender Series on 2026-10-07?	Yes	✗ 49%
Will Salhahuddin Everett beat Ozzy Martin at Dana White's Contender Series on 2026-10-07?	Yes	✓ 53%
Will Alivia Bierley beat Summer Onley at Dana White's Contender Series on 2026-10-07?	Yes	✗ 39%

Each cell is that forecaster’s probability of YES, locked before the start (— = no forecast in time). A tick means the right side of 50%.