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Sportsdue 2026-10-07Resolved YES

Will Alivia Bierley beat Summer Onley at Dana White's Contender Series on 2026-10-07?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Alivia Bierley defeats Summer Onley in their scheduled bout at Dana White's Contender Series (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) on 2026-10-07, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Summer Onley wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
39%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 39%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
W Bantamweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
39% Alivia Bierley (3 books)
Alivia Bierley
5-1-0
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Nikola KacperskaKO/TKO · round 3Jul 2026
  • Wvs Shanna GomezKO/TKO · round 2May 2026
  • Wvs Devon McDonaldDecision - Unanimous · round 3Oct 2025
  • Wvs Samantha BristerDecision - Unanimous · round 3Feb 2025
  • Wvs Nadia ChmilKO/TKO · round 1Sep 2024
Summer Onley
6-0-0
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Myllena MessiasTKO (Punches) · round 2Mar 2026
  • Wvs Monica Carvalho Fontes RodriguesTKO (Punches) · round 1Nov 2025
  • Wvs Thiciany Miranda FerreiraDecision - Unanimous · round 3Sep 2025
  • Wvs Ana Carolina AraujoTKO (Punches) · round 3Jun 2025
  • Wvs Flordinice MunizTKO (Punches) · round 2Sep 2024
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
39%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-06T20:41:44.434192Z for: Dana White's Contender Series: Alivia Bierley vs. Summer Onley (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)

polymarket/5343788 · locked 6 Oct 2026 · 20:46 UTC · Brier 0.378

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.