Will Mateus Soares beat Ryuho Miyaguchi at Dana White's Contender Series on 2026-10-06?
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Mateus Soares defeats Ryuho Miyaguchi in their scheduled bout at Dana White's Contender Series (Bantamweight, Main Card) on 2026-10-06, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Ryuho Miyaguchi wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
78%
Challenge the forecasters
Market 78%
50%
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Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-06T20:39:43.1057Z for: Dana White's Contender Series: Mateus Soares vs. Ryuho Miyaguchi (Bantamweight, Main Card)
polymarket/5343851 · locked 6 Oct 2026 · 20:46 UTC · Brier 0.051
Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.