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Sportsdue 2026-10-11Resolved NO

Will Ketlen Souza beat Loopy Godínez at UFC Fight Night on 2026-10-11?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Ketlen Souza defeats Loopy Godínez in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) on 2026-10-11, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Loopy Godínez wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
31%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 31%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
W Strawweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
34% Ketlen Souza (2 books)
DraftKings line
Ketlen Souza +195 · Loopy Godínez -238
Rounds over/under
2.5
Ketlen Souza
17-6-0 · line +195
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Ariane CarnelossiKO/TKO (Kick) · round 1Jun 2026
  • Wvs Bruna BrasilDecision - Unanimous · round 3Feb 2026
  • Lvs Piera RodriguezDecision - Split · round 3Aug 2025
  • Lvs Angela HillDecision - Split · round 3Feb 2025
  • Wvs Yazmin JaureguiSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 1Sep 2024
Loopy Godínez
14-6-0 · line -238
Last 5 fights
  • Lvs Tatiana SuarezSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 2Apr 2026
  • Wvs Jessica AndradeDecision - Unanimous · round 3Aug 2025
  • Wvs Julia PolastriDecision - Unanimous · round 3Mar 2025
  • Lvs Mackenzie DernDecision - Unanimous · round 3Aug 2024
  • Lvs Virna JandirobaDecision - Unanimous · round 3Mar 2024
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
31%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-10T19:37:35.582742Z for: UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

polymarket/5218445 · locked 10 Oct 2026 · 19:42 UTC · Brier 0.093

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.