Will Andre Fili beat Kai Kamaka III at UFC Fight Night on 2026-10-11?
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Andre Fili defeats Kai Kamaka III in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Featherweight, Main Card) on 2026-10-11, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Kai Kamaka III wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
59%
Challenge the forecasters
Market 59%
50%
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Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-10T19:39:33.691415Z for: UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)
polymarket/5218503 · locked 10 Oct 2026 · 19:42 UTC · Brier 0.172
Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.