Will Brendan Allen beat Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night on 2026-10-11?
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Brendan Allen defeats Christian Leroy Duncan in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Middleweight, Main Card) on 2026-10-11, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Christian Leroy Duncan wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
Forecast distribution
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Market
52%
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Market 52%
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Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-10T19:39:33.691415Z for: UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)
polymarket/5001672 · locked 10 Oct 2026 · 19:42 UTC · Brier 0.235
Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.