Will Jai Herbert beat Matheus Camilo at UFC Fight Night on 2026-10-11?
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Jai Herbert defeats Matheus Camilo in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Lightweight, Main Card) on 2026-10-11, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Matheus Camilo wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
36%
Challenge the forecasters
Market 36%
50%
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Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-10T19:37:35.582742Z for: UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)
polymarket/5218372 · locked 10 Oct 2026 · 19:42 UTC · Brier 0.416
Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.