Will Niko Price beat Leon Shahbazyan at UFC Fight Night on 2026-10-10?
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Niko Price defeats Leon Shahbazyan in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Welterweight, Prelims) on 2026-10-10, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Leon Shahbazyan wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
42%
Challenge the forecasters
Market 42%
50%
No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.
Matchup details
Weight class
Welterweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
45% Niko Price (3 books)
DraftKings line
Niko Price +120 · Leon Shahbazyan -142
Rounds over/under
1.5
Niko Price
16-11-0 · line +120
Last 5 fights
Lvs Michael ChiesaSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 1Mar 2026
Lvs Nikolay VeretennikovKO/TKO (Punches) · round 1Feb 2026
Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-10T19:39:33.691415Z for: UFC Fight Night: Niko Price vs. Leon Shahbazyan (Welterweight, Prelims)
polymarket/5218680 · locked 10 Oct 2026 · 19:42 UTC · Brier 0.342
Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.