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Sportsdue 2026-10-10Resolved NO

Will Daria Zhelezniakova beat Alice Pereira at UFC Fight Night on 2026-10-10?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Daria Zhelezniakova defeats Alice Pereira in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) on 2026-10-10, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Alice Pereira wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
46%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 46%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
W Bantamweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
47% Daria Zhelezniakova (3 books)
DraftKings line
Daria Zhelezniakova +114 · Alice Pereira -135
Rounds over/under
2.5
Daria Zhelezniakova
10-3-0 · line +114
Last 5 fights
  • Lvs Melissa CrodenDecision - Unanimous · round 3Apr 2026
  • Wvs Melissa MullinsDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jun 2025
  • Lvs Ailin PerezSubmission (Arm Triangle) · round 1Sep 2024
  • Wvs Montse RendonDecision - Unanimous · round 3Mar 2024
  • Wvs Marie LoiseauKO/TKO · round 1Apr 2023
Alice Pereira
7-1-0 · line -135
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Hailey CowanKO/TKO (Knee) · round 2Apr 2026
  • Lvs Montse RendonDecision - Split · round 3Sep 2025
  • Wvs Samara SantosDecision - Unanimous · round 5Dec 2024
  • Wvs Karla ThaisKO/TKO · round 2Aug 2024
  • Wvs Hosana EnnyKO/TKO · round 1Jul 2024
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
46%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-10T19:41:37.200229Z for: UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

polymarket/5218849 · locked 10 Oct 2026 · 19:42 UTC · Brier 0.207

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.