Will Gerald Meerschaert beat Julius Walker at UFC Fight Night on 2026-10-11?
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Gerald Meerschaert defeats Julius Walker in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) on 2026-10-11, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Julius Walker wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
27%
Challenge the forecasters
Market 27%
50%
No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.
Matchup details
Weight class
Light Heavyweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
30% Gerald Meerschaert (3 books)
DraftKings line
Gerald Meerschaert +240 · Julius Walker -298
Rounds over/under
1.5
Gerald Meerschaert
37-22-0 · line +240
Last 5 fights
Lvs Jacob MalkounDecision - Unanimous · round 3May 2026
Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-10T19:37:35.582742Z for: UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
polymarket/5218557 · locked 10 Oct 2026 · 19:42 UTC · Brier 0.070
Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.