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Sportsdue 2026-10-11Resolved YES

Will Otari Tanzilovi beat Malcolm Wellmaker at UFC Fight Night on 2026-10-11?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Otari Tanzilovi defeats Malcolm Wellmaker in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Bantamweight, Main Card) on 2026-10-11, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Malcolm Wellmaker wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
36%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 36%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
Bantamweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
36% Otari Tanzilovi (3 books)
DraftKings line
Otari Tanzilovi +185 · Malcolm Wellmaker -225
Rounds over/under
2.5
Otari Tanzilovi
10-2-0 · line +185
Last 5 fights
  • Lvs Shane CollinsDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jun 2026
  • Wvs Guillermo TorresDecision - Unanimous · round 3Feb 2025
  • Lvs Josias MusasaDecision - Split · round 3Sep 2024
  • Wvs Khikmatillo AbdullaevDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jan 2023
  • Wvs Eduardo Dinis do NascimentoTKO · round 3Sep 2022
Malcolm Wellmaker
10-2-0 · line -225
Last 5 fights
  • Lvs Juan DiazSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 2May 2026
  • Lvs Ethyn EwingDecision - Unanimous · round 3Nov 2025
  • Wvs Kris MoutinhoKO/TKO (Punch) · round 1Jun 2025
  • Wvs Cameron SaaimanKO/TKO (Punch) · round 1Apr 2025
  • Wvs Adam BramhaldKO/TKO (Punch) · round 1Aug 2024
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
36%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-10T19:37:35.582742Z for: UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card)

polymarket/5218618 · locked 10 Oct 2026 · 19:42 UTC · Brier 0.416

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.