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Sportsdue 2026-10-10Resolved YES

Will Brendson Ribeiro beat Felipe Franco at UFC Fight Night on 2026-10-10?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if Brendson Ribeiro defeats Felipe Franco in their scheduled bout at UFC Fight Night (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) on 2026-10-10, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Felipe Franco wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
22%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 22%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
Light Heavyweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Meta APEX, Las Vegas
Sportsbook consensus
26% Brendson Ribeiro (3 books)
DraftKings line
Brendson Ribeiro +270 · Felipe Franco -340
Rounds over/under
1.5
Brendson Ribeiro
17-11-0 · line +270
Last 5 fights
  • Lvs Magomed TuchalovDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jul 2026
  • Lvs Abdul-Rakhman YakhyaevSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 1Apr 2026
  • Lvs Oumar SyKO/TKO (Punches) · round 1Sep 2025
  • Lvs Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO (Punches) · round 1Jun 2025
  • Wvs Diyar NurgozhaySubmission (Kimura) · round 2Mar 2025
Felipe Franco
11-2-0 · line -340
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Levi Rodrigues Jr.KO/TKO (Punches) · round 2Jul 2026
  • Lvs Mario PintoDecision - Unanimous · round 3Mar 2026
  • Wvs Douglas Felipe SantosSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 1Feb 2026
  • Wvs Kleberson TavaresKO/TKO · round 1Dec 2025
  • Lvs Freddy VidalSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 3Sep 2025
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
22%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-10T19:39:33.691415Z for: UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Felipe Franco (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

polymarket/5218737 · locked 10 Oct 2026 · 19:42 UTC · Brier 0.616

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.