Will Deiveson Figueiredo beat Payton Talbott at UFC 332 on 2026-10-04?
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Deiveson Figueiredo defeats Payton Talbott in their scheduled bout at UFC 332 (Bantamweight, Main Card) on 2026-10-04, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Payton Talbott wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
14%
Challenge the forecasters
Market 14%
50%
No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.
Matchup details
Weight class
Bantamweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Sportsbook consensus
16% Deiveson Figueiredo (3 books)
DraftKings line
Deiveson Figueiredo +525 · Payton Talbott -750
Rounds over/under
2.5
Deiveson Figueiredo
25-7-1 · line +525
Last 5 fights
Lvs Song YadongSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · round 2May 2026
Lvs Umar NurmagomedovDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jan 2026
Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-03T18:52:55.618438Z for: UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)
polymarket/4740048 · locked 3 Oct 2026 · 18:58 UTC · Brier 0.021
Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.