Will Alden Coria beat Imanol Rodriguez at UFC 332 on 2026-10-04?
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Alden Coria defeats Imanol Rodriguez in their scheduled bout at UFC 332 (Flyweight, Prelims) on 2026-10-04, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Imanol Rodriguez wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
44%
Challenge the forecasters
Market 44%
50%
No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.
Matchup details
Weight class
Flyweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Sportsbook consensus
45% Alden Coria (3 books)
DraftKings line
Alden Coria +120 · Imanol Rodriguez -142
Rounds over/under
2.5
Alden Coria
13-3-0 · line +120
Last 5 fights
Wvs Stewart NicollDecision - Unanimous · round 3Jul 2026
Wvs Luis GuruleDecision - Unanimous · round 3Feb 2026
Lvs Joseph MoralesDecision - Split · round 3Aug 2025
Wvs Alberto TrujilloKO/TKO · round 1Sep 2024
Wvs Tyrell HillKO/TKO · round 1Jul 2024
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
Market
44%
NO
Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-03T18:52:55.618438Z for: UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)
polymarket/4740124 · locked 3 Oct 2026 · 18:58 UTC · Brier 0.189
Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.