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Sportsdue 2026-10-04Resolved NO

Will King Green beat Esteban Ribovics at UFC 332 on 2026-10-04?

Resolution criteria

Resolves YES if King Green defeats Esteban Ribovics in their scheduled bout at UFC 332 (Lightweight, Main Card) on 2026-10-04, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Esteban Ribovics wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).

Source: official UFC result

Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
37%
Challenge the forecasters

Market 37%

50%

No account needed. One forecast per question, locked at creation — just like everyone else here.

Matchup details
Weight class
Lightweight
Scheduled
3 rounds
Venue
Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Sportsbook consensus
36% King Green (3 books)
DraftKings line
King Green +180 · Esteban Ribovics -225
Rounds over/under
1.5
King Green
36-17-1 · line +180
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Terrance McKinneyKO/TKO (Punch) · round 1Jul 2026
  • Wvs Jeremy StephensSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · round 1May 2026
  • Wvs Daniel ZellhuberKO/TKO (Punches) · round 2Mar 2026
  • Wvs Lance Gibson Jr.Decision - Split · round 3Dec 2025
  • Lvs Mauricio RuffyKO/TKO (Kick) · round 1Mar 2025
Esteban Ribovics
16-3-0 · line -225
Last 5 fights
  • Wvs Edson BarbozaKO/TKO (Punches) · round 2Aug 2026
  • Lvs Mateusz GamrotSubmission (Arm Triangle) · round 2Apr 2026
  • Wvs Elves BrenerDecision - Unanimous · round 3Aug 2025
  • Lvs Nasrat HaqparastDecision - Split · round 3Mar 2025
  • Wvs Daniel ZellhuberDecision - Split · round 3Sep 2024
Previous meetings
First meeting between these two.
Forecast history
0%25%50%75%100%
Market
37%
NO

Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-03T18:52:55.618438Z for: UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)

polymarket/4740067 · locked 3 Oct 2026 · 18:58 UTC · Brier 0.133

Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.