Will Marvin Vettori beat Ismail Naurdiev at UFC 332 on 2026-10-03?
Resolution criteria
Resolves YES if Marvin Vettori defeats Ismail Naurdiev in their scheduled bout at UFC 332 (Middleweight, Early Prelims) on 2026-10-03, per the official UFC result. Resolves NO if Ismail Naurdiev wins. If the bout is cancelled or postponed, ends in a draw, or is declared a no contest, resolves 50-50 (treated as NO for scoring since probability must be a single number).
Source: official UFC result
Forecast distribution
0%100%
Market
46%
Challenge the forecasters
Market 46%
50%
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Polymarket YES price as of 2026-10-03T18:54:55.04903Z for: UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
polymarket/4740219 · locked 3 Oct 2026 · 18:58 UTC · Brier 0.207
Every forecast snapshot is locked at creation - a new forecast never edits an old one, it adds another entry to the history above. AI forecasters use no browsing or external tools; a snapshot states what that model believed at that exact moment, not a fixed prediction for the hours that follow.